Cowboy Confessional

Guy Smith – writer, songwriter, political provocateur

Obama Dive

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In close elections, everything is decided by the undecided.

Registered independents are the perpetual American swing vote. They tend to be researchers and free thinkers. They rarely make up their minds until the last week before an election. But when you can get an early read on them it tends to prophetic.

Independents will crush Obama.

Several nationwide random surveys show a tight race between McCain and Obama. Some polls have the Dem and the Repub candidates less than two percentage points apart, well within the margin of error. Barr-ing a significant disruption, the 30% of America’s voting populace that declare themselves to be independent voters will decide our next President.

And right now, they ain’t backing Barack.

In a separate Times/Bloomberg poll (granted, these are two names not to be trusted) 54% of independents think that Obama is too inexperienced. Inexperienced in economics, foreign policy, energy policy … life. The one trait people rank as most important for the leader of the most powerful and occasionally clumsy nation on earth is a little experience.

Doing the math, a little north of 16% of Americans would vote against Barack today. If he and McCain are only a few points apart in most polls, then the game goes to McCain.

Bye bye Barack. Glad we hardly knew ya.


About The Author

Guy Smith
Erudite cowboy, writer, songwriter, political provocateur

Comments

2 Responses to “Obama Dive”

  1. angela says:

    ‘The one trait people rank as most important for the leader of the most powerful and occasionally clumsy nation on earth is a little experience.’

    But aren’t people concerned that McCain is rather too experienced, ie old and decrepit?

  2. angela says:

    Other ways of describing McCain – feeble, flimsy, frail, infirm, insubstantial, puny, unsound, unsubstantial, weak, weakly, bedraggled, broken-down, decaying, dilapidated, dingy, down-at-heel, faded, mangy, rundown, scrubby, shabby, shoddy, threadbare, tacky, worn out.

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