Cowboy Confessional

Cowboy Confessional
Writer, songwriter, political provocateur
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Business Blues

November 13th, 2006

The passing election blew a chill wind across the decks of the Good Ship Commerce. 

Ignoring my unfortunate metaphor of Democrats blowing, I did stumble across the U.S. Chamber of Commerce ratings for both the outgoing and likely incoming chairs of various business related committees.  The dismissed Republicans had a CofC average rating of 93% while the newly anointed Democrats have a measly 45%.

Most importantly is the shift in the Small Business committee.  Given that half of all Americans are employed by small businesses, the (in)actions of this committee alone will shift the economy in gut churning lurches.  Proposed chair Nydia Velazquez ranks a substandard 48% among people who actually produce things, unlike politicians whose only commodity is hot air (perhaps politicians are responsible for global warming).

America, your economic boom is about to bust, and you have yourselves to thank.

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Life

November 9th, 2006

Life continues, despite our best efforts.

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Pelosi Punt

November 9th, 2006

Nancy Pelosi, glowing somewhat snidely in the aftermath of a partisan landslide, on ABC News said of Iraq (and I paraphrase):

“Terrorists are in Iraq because the United States is in Iraq.  When we leave, they will leave too.”

Forgive my bluntness, but could this become the new definition of mentally insane?  What possible motivation would terrorists who are killing fellow Muslims have for leaving an immature Iraq, where they stand a good chance of toppling the nuevo government and erecting a Islamic fascist theocracy … you know, like the Taliban once had. 

Imagine the Taliban with oil wealth.  If Pelosi is dense enough to believe her own hype, then the U.S. may well soon create a monster it cannot control … again.

 

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The Pelosi Proxy

November 7th, 2006

A sequined G-string orbited the television screen, propelling a barely concealed package through the shear will of well muscled hips.  The dancer wore nothing else aside from a posterior-mounted feather array that would make a peacock blush.

My father glanced suspiciously at me from the corner of his eye, safely separated from the dancer by an entire continent.  I admit that tales of San Francisco are my favorite fodder when visiting home.  Nothing gets a rise out of conservatives and southerners like stories of the wicked and wanton west coast.

San Franciscans fail to understand how the rest of the country perceives them.  Blame it on traveling storytellers like myself, or blame myopic media portrayals of the gaudier aspects of the Modern Sodom. American treats San Francisco as their slightly dangerous and thoroughly deranged cousin who crashes the family reunion but whom, out of familial courtesy, is never turned away.

San Francisco always had a reputation, not unlike those held by inebriated spring break co-eds.  Gold rush era originalism of an entirely open and debauched society laid the foundation of “Frisco’s” image in the country, and it never improved much thereafter.  Television news transmitted segregated images of 1960’s hippies and their lifestyles into the homes of the Eisenhower middle class.  San Francisco’s political peculiarities tickled or trampled the sensibilities of suburban dwellers.  Over-the-top flamboyance of some members of San Francisco’s gay community were the video feeds of choice come Pride Week for outlets as radically diverse as Fox and CBS. 

It is little wonder that America perceives The City as perpetual perversion, both procreative and political.  Hence the Pelosi Proxy.  The heartland cannot aggregate their collective distrust of Baghdad by the Bay — their distaste for the decadence and degradation of assumed American culture — so they must distill reflexive repulsion to perpetual homelessness, cultural vagrancy, and sexual surplus into an icon.  In the dichotomy of modern American politics, right-of-center voters find a convenient and rational representative in San Francisco’s own.

While San Franciscans fail to understand how they are perceived throughout the rest of the country, they also fail to understand how and why they are so thoroughly different.  Nearly 25 years ago, John Naisbitt noted in his book “Megatrends” that our country was simultaneously growing older, more suburban, and more southern.  The amalgamation of these population drifts resulted in the public growing more conservative, or at least more resistant to radical leftward shifts, and thus marginalizing our beloved open-air asylum.  One has only to look at a county-by-county red/blue map of the last election to see that the great swathe of aging outlanders has contained Shaky Town’s cherished madness.

It will get worse before it gets better, and it could exponentially decay if Pelosi ascends to the speaker’s podium.  If Democrat control of the house leads to left-of-center extravagance, and the full force of so-called “progressive” political thinking comes to fore and validates middle America’s perceptions, the backlash will be savage.  Deserved or not, San Francisco culture and politics is on probation, and cultural beat cops are more than ready to arrest again.  Too much, too fast, or too in-your-face realpolitik will slam shut the door to this cell.

Perhaps dear old dad summed it up as the televised Pride Parade crotch shot continued invading his domicile.  “I’d don’t give a damn if he’s gay, I just want him to put some clothes on!”.

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Drugs and violence

November 6th, 2006

Relationship between drug laws and violenceDo drugs lead people to violence, or do anti-drug laws create criminal classes that use violence as a tool?  I think the latter.

While spelunking criminological data, I plotted the U.S. homicide rate from the early 20th century on … and noticed a very odd curve (click the pic to enlarge).  Murders dropped during the Great Depression and well before World War II.  Homicides stayed low (well, low for us Yanks) through the late 1960’s, then spiked sharply upwards.  Slayings in the 1980-1990 often spike to double the rate they were in the Ike era.

I decided to plot the enactment (and one repeal) of anti-drug laws and found a troubling correlation.  Now, we all know that causal analysis is invalid, and my little examination is not statistically provable, but it does give cause for pause.  If we stipulate than making popular products illegal creates a thriving black market for them, and that criminals running these markets are willing to use violence to protect profits (as they did in Prohibition), then a lead-lag between restriction and violence would be predictable.

The one best thing we could do in the United States to reduce violent crime would be to legalize drugs.  Given that were are over 1.3 million violent crimes in 2004, over 16,000 murders, we could save a lot of blood just by letting dopers pollute their blood.

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